You have no items in your cart.
Week 7 Quarterbacks – Using Advanced Stats to Build a Winning FanDuel or DraftKings Lineup
Every week I have to earn my fan bases trust. As an fantasy football expert. I made a lot of money in daily fantasy sports for myself, but I need to help you make money playing daily fantasy football. As someone who puts in countless hours researching, running the numbers and thinking through each teams players and matchups, I came up with my Quarterback plays you need to consider this week to help you put together a winning FanDuel and DraftKings lineup this week.
Quarterbacks – By The Numbers
Guys I love this week are Brady, Dalton, Bortles, Rivers, Ryan and Cousins. Why?
Tom Brady at Steelers – $7,900 DK / $9,100 FD
I listed Brady first because this is the 3rd stop on his revenge tour(yes, sometimes you numbers don’t tell the whole story). However, here are some numbers. Since his return Brady has averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game. What if they are killing the Steelers? LOL that’s a good one. Luckily, no matter how much they are ahead by, they always keep the foot on the gas.
.Matt Ryan and the Falcons on the other hand, if they get up by to much, they may start running a lot more. I nothing else, they may run more just to keep Rivers off the field. Case in point, against a New Orleans Saints Matt Ryan threw only 30 times in order to keep Brees off the field.
Andy Dalton vs Browns – $6,000 DK / $8,100 FD
No one ever talks about Dalton as a top DFS play, but I like Dalton a lot this week for both cash and GPP games. Here are some numbers to consider:
According to Football Outsiders, the Browns rank 30th in pass defense DVOA and rank 28th in yards allowed per pass attempt.
If that’s not enough, last year Dalton put up 23.9 (220 yrds, 2 TD’s and one rushing TD) and 21.86 fantasy points(234 yrds and 3 TD’s) up against the Browns last season, and guess what, the Browns have allowed three touchdown passes in four consecutive games. Dalton makes a better DraftKings play because of the 300 yard passing bonus.
Kirk Cousins vs Detroit – $5,900 DK / $7,300 FD
While Cousins home/road splits last year were extremely different, this year he has made that a thing if the past. The great matchup Cousins has this week against the Lions who rank 31st against the pass defense DVOA. His passing NEP per pass attempt on the road this year is .22, while the league average is .13. Those are the numbers, but here are some other things to think about. Just last week this Lions defense allowed Case Keenum to throw for 321 yards and 3 TD’s and while the status of Desean Jackson and Jordon Reed is still up in the air, Cousins has enough weapons from Garcon, Crowder and newly found target Vernon Davis to get the job done.
Philip Rivers @Atlanta – $6,500 DK / $7,800 FD
Rivers seems to keep this team in games every week and this week should be no different. Up until last week when he played against that Denver defense, Rivers had over 300 yards passing and 6 TD’s over the last 3 games.
This week he faces Atlanta who has one of the hottest offenses that will be a handful for the Chargers 26th ranked pass defense. Because he should be playing from behind, Rivers will put up big numbers against a weak Falcon defense. Even Vegas sees this as a high scoring game, with an over/under of 54.5 this week. If that, is not enough for you, here’s another interesting fact, when the Chargers are underdogs by 6 points or more, Rivers has averaged 24.87 fantasy points per game!
Good luck in your FanDuel and DraftKings contests this week and as always let me know how you did. @lockdowncorner3